Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2027?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saturn officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Saturn will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Saturn (https://x.com/saturn_credit), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saturn launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 92% Yes | Open |
| Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 82% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 64% · best ask 66%
Top holders
- BuD12132159594377777007147269333579934169216801058657052049528375253394244985647
- polca57326052065764844405916098811699285420070372987469668563389379391149576176109
- WillFS57326052065764844405916098811699285420070372987469668563389379391149576176109
- Choroo57326052065764844405916098811699285420070372987469668563389379391149576176109
- 43dkl5r12132159594377777007147269333579934169216801058657052049528375253394244985647
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL64%$110 days ago
- SELL65%$20.610 days ago
- BUY30%$1.510 days ago
- BUY31%$9.810 days ago
- SELL69%$21.910 days ago
- SELL30%$912 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 01:59 PM UTC