Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoBest bid 2% · best ask 3%
Top holders
- toutiege106227508556396173200251585948813983461812401562981415982338613711111829992964
- DEGENKHAN82342511973069342396204964191493229437456472866170495329011657785681361538257
- Peppery-Strawman-Rhubarb106227508556396173200251585948813983461812401562981415982338613711111829992964
- SmakAfriki82342511973069342396204964191493229437456472866170495329011657785681361538257
- CasanaView82342511973069342396204964191493229437456472866170495329011657785681361538257
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL97%$2.16 days ago
- BUY98%$39.78 days ago
- SELL98%$19 days ago
- BUY98%$19 days ago
- SELL97%$187.810 days ago
- SELL97%$107.310 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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1 comment
From Polymarket's own thread- anonymous · last month
People priced this at 7%? Thats crazy
As of Sep 30, 03:09 AM UTC