Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Yes81%
No20%

Price checked at

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24h volume$200
7d volume$658.3
30d volume$6.3K
Liquidity$1.2K
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The criteria are materially identical; Polymarket specifies a settlement timestamp corresponding to December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, while PredictFun does not specify resolvesAt.
  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

    This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    read Sep 30, 12:04 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

    This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    59 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 27, 01:14 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders59
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments1

Best bid 15% · best ask 17%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966111885516631615794572167941914491741695280224437044282008477480890402133794825
  • Favorable-Pepper-Brushing95820591392747002830404670806389661682566089368801724999699519822075030580841
  • 0xff7ca9cd180d33119e653e3eb50555a3e2ccb23395820591392747002830404670806389661682566089368801724999699519822075030580841
  • balthazar95820591392747002830404670806389661682566089368801724999699519822075030580841
  • Wrathful-Aquarium95820591392747002830404670806389661682566089368801724999699519822075030580841

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Recent trades

  • BUY82%$96.14 days ago
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  • BUY82%$4.111 days ago
  • BUY23%$3.512 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Onswaggie · 4 months ago

    Both MS and GS wil be heavily involved but MS will be the lead.

As of Sep 30, 03:10 AM UTC