PolymarketOpen

Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

No94%
Yes7%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$306.5
Spread7%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Sep 30, 06:46 AM UTC