PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:09 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$14.6K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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KalshiOpen →
Rio Grande do Sul Governor winner?: Will Marcelo Maranata Soares Reinaldo win the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election?
If Marcelo Maranata Soares Reinaldo wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 08:29 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
51 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 07:49 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Polymarket	80% Yes	$2.3K	—	—	Open
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Polymarket	82% No	$584.1	—	—	Open
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Polymarket	96% No	$376.8	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders51

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296670466368185922331646893029626504671696154080917405601565921027985540809820577
Anne6663752041675395008006206759466284073115271829884673938399150332465180816442114
Drangtian3752041675395008006206759466284073115271829884673938399150332465180816442114
49ddgfd3752041675395008006206759466284073115271829884673938399150332465180816442114
rainbowlilies3752041675395008006206759466284073115271829884673938399150332465180816442114

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As of Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC