PolymarketOpen

Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes89%
No11%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$568
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 21, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket91% YesOpen
Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket91% YesOpen
Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Will Javier Bardem be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Josh O'Connor be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Brad Pitt be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket62% NoOpen
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket51% YesOpen
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket51% NoOpen
Will Adam Driver be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders39
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments4

Best bid 86% · best ask 90%

Top holders

  • thursdays66106769301249408191177640022263048032962432598150410046136885779023299298204
  • ImJustKen15402042778562711492971346002284628001831440068286312913604740916831366040074
  • Mithrandir.15402042778562711492971346002284628001831440068286312913604740916831366040074
  • Sagand15402042778562711492971346002284628001831440068286312913604740916831366040074
  • pengu1n15402042778562711492971346002284628001831440068286312913604740916831366040074

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY12%$22 days ago
  • BUY86%$184.32 days ago
  • BUY85%$52 days ago
  • SELL82%$0.29 days ago
  • BUY16%$169 days ago
  • BUY15%$2.79 days ago

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4 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • negativePNL · 14 days ago

    so free

  • benoitgagnon997 · 21 days ago

    Why gosling fell so much? Intrinsic value truly a 40 - 60

  • Indeno · last month

    Tom Holland

  • MemeLoverOfficial · 3 months ago

    Add seth rogen

As of Sep 29, 10:12 PM UTC