PolymarketOpen

JD Vance out as VP by December 31?

No96%

Yes5%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:09 PM UTC

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24h volume$20

7d volume$361.6

30d volume$2.6K

Liquidity$20.2K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders144

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments3

Top holders

BigRabbit20184354284415668590668077814684363839133272052518277969290740331917242382911
Bravo41420184354284415668590668077814684363839133272052518277969290740331917242382911
0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c57056512894358978962861582032489859724132734641617596666898210793862602752756
Anjun57056512894358978962861582032489859724132734641617596666898210793862602752756
DEGENKHAN57056512894358978962861582032489859724132734641617596666898210793862602752756

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL95%$23 days ago
BUY5%$15 days ago
SELL95%$3.65 days ago
SELL4%$45 days ago
SELL95%$1905 days ago
SELL95%$14.97 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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3 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

BigRabbit · 4 months ago
No it's a JD Vance Is a Chud market
Tall-Sale · 4 months ago
AKA the assassination market 💀
Forthright-Gallery · 4 months ago
No way

As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC