Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 72% No | Open |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 88% No | Open |
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 days agoBest bid 76% · best ask 77%
Top holders
- egas76031544377055892909634427325494065810670102278524674929544175839523888572965
- cr1mean76031544377055892909634427325494065810670102278524674929544175839523888572965
- MaxEnt13261876602013325752938392901406986302025101425494864399379099241733151712635
- mainantagonist13261876602013325752938392901406986302025101425494864399379099241733151712635
- Elementary-Gold13261876602013325752938392901406986302025101425494864399379099241733151712635
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY75%$455 days ago
- BUY74%$343.15 days ago
- SELL26%$11.85 days ago
- SELL26%$3.45 days ago
- SELL72%$0.35 days ago
- BUY73%$22.25 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
44 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Well-Documented-Theory · 30 days ago
so i think no TGE in 2026
- maxdawg · last month
goddamn this would be interesting market if it wasnt for end date
- username6 · 2 months ago
and your logic is ruined, the seasons are 4-weeks each, starting from april 6. There is no way it ends on 31 of december, the math is not mathing
- username6 · 2 months ago
multiple transactions on INK blockchain testing the claim, swap functions etc. I think TGE is coming in 1-2 months max, they don't test this half a year before tge.
- username6 · 2 months ago
what is the source of this info?
- Dahncchi · 2 months ago
Nado announced that. Who is to say that Nado must do INK tokens airdrop at tge and not later after token is already listed? Seeing as odds barely moved this is a possibility
- localguy · 2 months ago
Inc. announced that the point program will not end before December 31, 2026, meaning all events will be calculated as "No"
- sasuk3 · 2 months ago
i doubt that tge will be in 2026
- Well-Documented-Theory · 4 months ago
+100 looking easy
- hun111 · 4 months ago
when ipo
- BearGrizzzy · 5 months ago
ink 1b yes
- gn1y · 6 months ago
$1B easy
- guesswhatnow · 7 months ago
ink ftw
- BearGrizzzy · 7 months ago
ink fdv above 250
- Quarterly-Spice · 10 months ago
facts only
- Quarterly-Spice · 10 months ago
what yall using now
- Pointless-Effort · 10 months ago
dashboard crashed need new
- Open-Vacuum · 10 months ago
damn you rothschild money printers
- Early-Gland · 10 months ago
federal reserve private jewish bank prints your money
- Gripping-Bartender · 10 months ago
thanks
As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC