Next Token Sale on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying Coinbase token sale request window goes live between the creation of this market and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, a Coinbase token sale request window must be live and actively accepting commitments. Qualifying sales must be hosted directly by Coinbase on coinbase.com/token-sales or any official successor page within the Coinbase app or website. Sales run on a project's own site via Sonar, Echo, or any Coinbase-powered white-label technology do not qualify, regardless of affiliation. Private sales, airdrops, standard exchange listings, and any sale without a dedicated public request window do not qualify. Sale announcements, previews, and waitlists do not constitute a live request window. A request window that opens and is subsequently cancelled, paused, or suspended still resolves to "Yes" — post-opening outcomes including cancellation, refunds, pauses, or failure to distribute tokens do not affect resolution. If a sale is announced but the request window never opens, or a token is listed directly without a request window, this market resolves to "No". The resolution source is coinbase.com/token-sales, official Coinbase blog posts, or @Coinbase/@CoinbaseMarkets on X, corroborated by credible news sources.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next Token Sale on Coinbase by November 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 78% No | Open |
| Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 10:23 AM UTC