Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rakesh Christian win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Sean Collinson win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will David Collenberg win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will David Fennell win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Josh Fryday win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Janelle Kellman win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Jeyson Lopez win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 95% Yes | Open |
| Will Ebie Lynch win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Michael Tubbs win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 10:15 PM UTC