Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoBest bid 5% · best ask 7%
Top holders
- KrackenSruster50035578024412312502715156279765769139689669299163153792052060268176088979005
- End12350035578024412312502715156279765769139689669299163153792052060268176088979005
- Newshound108022836882070634894978103447460059415631393810246745281341648986501895644031
- Porx108022836882070634894978103447460059415631393810246745281341648986501895644031
- 0x3fb13dbd2c5a2331b3e52ee561784162e18b517f108022836882070634894978103447460059415631393810246745281341648986501895644031
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY94%$14 days ago
- BUY93%$101.65 days ago
- SELL92%$56.86 days ago
- SELL7%$3.56 days ago
- SELL8%$13.26 days ago
- SELL8%$166 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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50 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- pink.impala · last month
Orcs going forward like mighty LAVA-flood, hobbits gonna ha have to call elections REALLY SOON!!
- pink.impala · 3 months ago
Russian MFA fires back at Zelensky's air defense concerns "Nothing will help him. He is like a tick that has latched onto the body of the Ukrainian people and cannot get its fill of blood," Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said.
- TRUTH · 4 months ago
No election, no future
- gh-3 · 7 months ago
No one believes him for a long time now
- Quilty · 8 months ago
Zelensky so funny, blaming the Russians that he wont hold elections AND IT ALWAYS WORKS UKRAINIANS ALWAYS BELIEVE IT, he can always blame the Russians for everything thats wrong he has the worlds dumbest population!
- gambler13 · 8 months ago
you bought at 6.0. smart
- Krushvize · 8 months ago
Тhis is the first time I've heard this – Zelenskyy on the elections and referendum on February 24.
- gambler13 · 8 months ago
i wont go any lower
- gambler13 · 8 months ago
cmon porx buy at 9.0
- Mad-Weapon · 8 months ago
you have to read the news
- ineedmassage · 8 months ago
Yeah, the U.S. also wanted a ceasefire in 3 days, how did that go?
- doubledual4 · 8 months ago
“They say that they want to do everything by June . . . so that the war ends,” Ukraine’s president told reporters, citing the White House’s desire to shift its focus to the US midterm elections in November. “And they want a clear schedule.”
- ineedmassage · 8 months ago
Sure, that's possible, but I don't really think he's going to tie his hands in an unnecessary fashion. There's battlefield volatility, legislative uncertainty, domestic backlash and strategic optionality. Fwiw, 90% of Ukrainians oppose elections during active war, 77% oppose elections even after ceasefire with security guarantees, 59% insist elections only after final peace agreement.
- gambler13 · 8 months ago
He just needs to say an exact date.
- ineedmassage · 8 months ago
Ukraine’s Office of the President on Wednesday rejected a Financial Times report that President Volodymyr Zelensky intends to announce plans for presidential elections and a referendum on Feb. 24, saying security conditions remain the determining factor. “As long as there is no security, there will be no announcements,” a source in the president’s circle told RBC-Ukraine in response to the report. I guess we'll see.
- ineedmassage · 8 months ago
Zelenskyy cannot legally schedule an election under martial law, and martial law was just extended for another 90 days. The Rada is supposedly crafting another law to bypass those restrictions, but they're in no hurry as there is no infrastructure to hold elections. It's just to show the Americans that they're proactive. He will lay out a plan on the 24th for possible elections when the conditions are right.
- TylerTurden · 8 months ago
So you think his announcement on Feb. 24 will be him announcing that he will in the future plan to announce elections?
- ineedmassage · 8 months ago
It needs to be scheduled. Announcing a plan for elections isn't enough.
- TylerTurden · 8 months ago
It just needs to be announced - doesn't need to happen
- Krushvize · 8 months ago
Bruh buddies what elections... You dont know how Ukrainian politics works
As of Oct 2, 01:51 AM UTC