PolymarketOpen

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?

No95%
Yes5%

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24h volume$2.3K
7d volume$3.5K
30d volume$8.9K
Liquidity$8.3K
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Holders118
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments50

Best bid 5% · best ask 7%

Top holders

  • KrackenSruster50035578024412312502715156279765769139689669299163153792052060268176088979005
  • End12350035578024412312502715156279765769139689669299163153792052060268176088979005
  • Newshound108022836882070634894978103447460059415631393810246745281341648986501895644031
  • Porx108022836882070634894978103447460059415631393810246745281341648986501895644031
  • 0x3fb13dbd2c5a2331b3e52ee561784162e18b517f108022836882070634894978103447460059415631393810246745281341648986501895644031

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY94%$14 days ago
  • BUY93%$101.65 days ago
  • SELL92%$56.86 days ago
  • SELL7%$3.56 days ago
  • SELL8%$13.26 days ago
  • SELL8%$166 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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50 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • pink.impala · last month

    Orcs going forward like mighty LAVA-flood, hobbits gonna ha have to call elections REALLY SOON!!

  • pink.impala · 3 months ago

    Russian MFA fires back at Zelensky's air defense concerns "Nothing will help him. He is like a tick that has latched onto the body of the Ukrainian people and cannot get its fill of blood," Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said.

  • TRUTH · 4 months ago

    No election, no future

  • gh-3 · 7 months ago

    No one believes him for a long time now

  • Quilty · 8 months ago

    Zelensky so funny, blaming the Russians that he wont hold elections AND IT ALWAYS WORKS UKRAINIANS ALWAYS BELIEVE IT, he can always blame the Russians for everything thats wrong he has the worlds dumbest population!

  • gambler13 · 8 months ago

    you bought at 6.0. smart

  • Krushvize · 8 months ago

    Тhis is the first time I've heard this – Zelenskyy on the elections and referendum on February 24.

  • gambler13 · 8 months ago

    i wont go any lower

  • gambler13 · 8 months ago

    cmon porx buy at 9.0

  • Mad-Weapon · 8 months ago

    you have to read the news

  • ineedmassage · 8 months ago

    Yeah, the U.S. also wanted a ceasefire in 3 days, how did that go?

  • doubledual4 · 8 months ago

    “They say that they want to do everything by June . . . so that the war ends,” Ukraine’s president told reporters, citing the White House’s desire to shift its focus to the US midterm elections in November. “And they want a clear schedule.”

  • ineedmassage · 8 months ago

    Sure, that's possible, but I don't really think he's going to tie his hands in an unnecessary fashion. There's battlefield volatility, legislative uncertainty, domestic backlash and strategic optionality. Fwiw, 90% of Ukrainians oppose elections during active war, 77% oppose elections even after ceasefire with security guarantees, 59% insist elections only after final peace agreement.

  • gambler13 · 8 months ago

    He just needs to say an exact date.

  • ineedmassage · 8 months ago

    Ukraine’s Office of the President on Wednesday rejected a Financial Times report that President Volodymyr Zelensky intends to announce plans for presidential elections and a referendum on Feb. 24, saying security conditions remain the determining factor. “As long as there is no security, there will be no announcements,” a source in the president’s circle told RBC-Ukraine in response to the report. I guess we'll see.

  • ineedmassage · 8 months ago

    Zelenskyy cannot legally schedule an election under martial law, and martial law was just extended for another 90 days. The Rada is supposedly crafting another law to bypass those restrictions, but they're in no hurry as there is no infrastructure to hold elections. It's just to show the Americans that they're proactive. He will lay out a plan on the 24th for possible elections when the conditions are right.

  • TylerTurden · 8 months ago

    So you think his announcement on Feb. 24 will be him announcing that he will in the future plan to announce elections?

  • ineedmassage · 8 months ago

    It needs to be scheduled. Announcing a plan for elections isn't enough.

  • TylerTurden · 8 months ago

    It just needs to be announced - doesn't need to happen

  • Krushvize · 8 months ago

    Bruh buddies what elections... You dont know how Ukrainian politics works

As of Oct 2, 01:51 AM UTC