PolymarketOpen

Will Branko Blanuša be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

No97%

Yes3%

Price checked at Sep 29, 07:36 PM UTC

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24h volume$152.2

7d volume$207.8

30d volume$350.3

Liquidity$14K

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Siniša Karan be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Polymarket	97% No	$254.8	—	—	Open
Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Polymarket	93% Yes	$253.7	—	—	Open
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Polymarket	96% No	$180	—	—	Open
Will Draško Stanivuković be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Polymarket	99% No	$34.6	—	—	Open
Will Marinko Božović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Polymarket	99% No	$34.5	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders14

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments3

Best bid 99% · best ask 100%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296611964418409284886822383283754920555832479755419021980968847808027346904076789
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.36047278473128862281009964123525643187320927408566742830034266821255271645452
LornaPredicts36047278473128862281009964123525643187320927408566742830034266821255271645452
AJSV36047278473128862281009964123525643187320927408566742830034266821255271645452
mehanizator36047278473128862281009964123525643187320927408566742830034266821255271645452

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Recent trades

SELL1%$0.110 days ago
SELL0%$011 days ago
SELL1%$0.124 days ago
SELL0%$0.125 days ago
SELL2%$0.328 days ago
SELL1%$0.628 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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3 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

.gbryven · 22 days ago
anyone else waiting for polyitem?
GoldenLilies · 3 months ago
Could Marinko Bozovic be added to the market? He is the main opposition candidate.
madafaki · 5 months ago
necu biti karan

As of Sep 29, 07:36 PM UTC