PolymarketOpen

3Jane FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No93%

Yes7%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:10 AM UTC

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24h volume$240

7d volume$240

30d volume$240

Liquidity$588

Spread4%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of 3Jane's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	57% Yes	—	—	—	Open
3Jane FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Polymarket	86% Yes	—	—	—	Open
3Jane FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Polymarket	70% Yes	—	—	—	Open
3Jane FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	79% No	—	—	—	Open
3Jane FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	72% No	—	—	—	Open
3Jane FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	90% No	—	—	—	Open
3Jane FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Polymarket	83% No	—	—	—	Open
3Jane FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
3Jane FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Polymarket	95% No	$213	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 14 hours ago

Holders16

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 91% · best ask 94%

Top holders

Both-Adult23143015495828699424650153034933977405650973050848647073423657801233633202521
Dr.PNL71551593256887053580841434612025169383903870510067099484420059419078720756821
AJSV71551593256887053580841434612025169383903870510067099484420059419078720756821
a1NBA23143015495828699424650153034933977405650973050848647073423657801233633202521
Numitus199471551593256887053580841434612025169383903870510067099484420059419078720756821

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL8%$2.421 hours ago
BUY92%$27.621 hours ago
BUY92%$27.621 hours ago
BUY92%$13821 hours ago
BUY90%$10.8last month
SELL90%$27last month

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 12:21 AM UTC