Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
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Resolution rules
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Semir Efendić be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | Polymarket | 82% Yes | Open |
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6 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- petersohn · 12 days ago
Thank you for coming back to answer me. Gonna be buying Denis today
- GoldenLilies · 12 days ago
According to a Klix poll in which around 15,000 people have voted, Denis leads with 66% of the votes, while Bakir has 34%.
- petersohn · 22 days ago
Thanks
- GoldenLilies · 22 days ago
Not yet. Unofficially, Denis is in a considerable lead, judging by what people and experts are saying.
- petersohn · 23 days ago
Has polling begun?
- GoldenLilies · 3 months ago
We should expect real price discovery to happen in September once polling, debates, and campaign activity begin. Until then, prices are easily moved by small capital and do not reflect actual voter sentiment.
As of Sep 29, 10:27 PM UTC