PolymarketOpen

Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?

No98%

Yes2%

Price checked at Sep 30, 08:05 PM UTC

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24h volume$141.2

7d volume$721.5

30d volume$777.6

Liquidity$16.7K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 15 hours ago

Holders29

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Best bid 98% · best ask 98%

Top holders

devin.lawson.77106164592764907744903517219997674658855307495112104965166018338481000894118131
thecaricature52380235690534955309187112828636447176248413524546658736228363369602832818316
Nadmi52380235690534955309187112828636447176248413524546658736228363369602832818316
Perypery52380235690534955309187112828636447176248413524546658736228363369602832818316
DEGENKHAN106164592764907744903517219997674658855307495112104965166018338481000894118131

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL98%$11.719 hours ago
BUY2%$12.72 days ago
BUY2%$0.92 days ago
BUY98%$220 days ago
SELL2%$0.726 days ago
BUY98%$13.929 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

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Alert-Stack · 3 months ago
flybondi

As of Sep 30, 08:51 PM UTC