Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The sitting government of Romania was ousted through a vote of no-confidence on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the next Romanian governing coalition formed after market creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first new Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the composition of the next governing coalition is not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Romania.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? | Polymarket | 61% No | Open |
| Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? | Polymarket | 73% No | Open |
| Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? | Polymarket | 74% Yes | Open |
| Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? | Polymarket | 62% No | Open |
| Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? | Polymarket | 56% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoTop holders
- archaic72964369035618616517447053740585925454979127285911504784659789181800463957628
- 0x123431dfba9512a9073db4eaf176d2326a08c1bb48801012564478900395518802752495102183767082452669659854974957041741183548616
- Razor7748801012564478900395518802752495102183767082452669659854974957041741183548616
- LornaPredicts48801012564478900395518802752495102183767082452669659854974957041741183548616
- Dr.PNL48801012564478900395518802752495102183767082452669659854974957041741183548616
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY4%$17 days ago
- BUY4%$15.69 days ago
- SELL1%$0.112 days ago
- BUY96%$6.912 days ago
- SELL4%$0.312 days ago
- SELL95%$0.912 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
3 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- PredeSacalul1 · 5 months ago
Pai la aia cu presedinti era full
- Intentional-Tonight · 5 months ago
volum mic pt ca la nivel global Romania nu conteaza. Si probabil pentru ca polymarket e interzis in Romania.😇
- PredeSacalul1 · 5 months ago
De ce e volum asa de mic
As of Sep 29, 10:22 PM UTC