Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No65%
Yes35%

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24h volume$3K
7d volume$18.6K
30d volume$86.5K
Liquidity$48.5K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. PredictFun provides no settlement timestamp, while Polymarket lists January 1, 2028, 04:59 UTC; both criteria use the same deadline and resolution source, with no material substantive difference.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

    This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    257 holders · 506 comments · read Sep 22, 04:31 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

    This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    read Sep 30, 03:58 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
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Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders257
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments479

Best bid 69% · best ask 70%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296668829567322230980461118600333817132201871964717829137729858095432210984433418
  • sciuboi80691587128531722325788759109439099893286278054858729922746237563588185080855
  • spacegliderr68829567322230980461118600333817132201871964717829137729858095432210984433418
  • HerrieDavis68829567322230980461118600333817132201871964717829137729858095432210984433418
  • Which-Seminar80691587128531722325788759109439099893286278054858729922746237563588185080855

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Discussion on Predxy

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479 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • M1000RR · 16 hours ago

    Olgutu e ca Simion, fug de munca ca de raie.

  • sciuboi · 20 hours ago

    vedem maine, oricum eu iti zic ca in proportie de 90% o sa fie desemnat Grindeanu, tu crezi ce vrei.

  • Always-Right · yesterday

    asta ziceam

  • sciuboi · yesterday

    acolo am vandut 24k shares, ca nu am ce face cu ele, oricum maine pica cu 170 voturi

  • Always-Right · yesterday

    inafara de Vasilica :)

  • sciuboi · yesterday

    Atat de sigur incat am cumparat cam toate variantele

  • Always-Right · yesterday

    Esti prea sigur pe tine - se cheama hubris

  • WhaleWatch-96432 · yesterday

    Sylvester. the. Cat, a top earner, locked in $7,245.00 on Alexandru Nazare with outcome No. That's serious skin in the game. What do they see that you don't?

  • sciuboi · 2 days ago

    Olgutul

  • sciuboi · 2 days ago

    morrr, trece in nefiinta

  • SorosG · 2 days ago

    Olguțu sau Olguța next?

  • Gabrieldrg · 2 days ago

    Trece vasilica

  • sciuboi · 2 days ago

    eu as pune altfel problema, Nazare daca urmaresti a spus ca pot sa existe niste cresteri de taxe. Cum o da PSD-ul tinand cont ca Nazare are alte obiective sau chiar continua reformele lui Bolojaf? Aici mi-as face problema. PSD cel mai probabil nu l-ar vota.

  • DDD25 · 2 days ago

    si daca il desemneaza cine il voteaza? usr, aur si pnl automat nu voteaza. ar trebui ca restul parlamentarilor ramasi sa voteze toti, ceea ce e posibil daca sunt amenitati cu anticipatele.

  • sciuboi · 2 days ago

    Pa pa Vasile Muresan

  • sciuboi · 2 days ago

    clar

  • mvp74 · 3 days ago

    Tot mai credeți că va fi numit vreodată Grindeanu după scandalul ăsta cu ambasadoarea SUA în Grecia? :)

  • Always-Right · 3 days ago

    Hai sa vedem 🍿

  • sciuboi · 4 days ago

    Ziua circului va fi miercuri

  • hgghfghg · 4 days ago

    miercuri

As of Sep 30, 12:52 PM UTC