Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 5 days agoBest bid 4% · best ask 6%
Top holders
- elPolloLoco6907259361087822635292204501982768291612364849448083823281926712749042340631
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296635832232621406953037371729758387191549577966927709422737957603215578696011873
- HerrieDavis35832232621406953037371729758387191549577966927709422737957603215578696011873
- Cando86907259361087822635292204501982768291612364849448083823281926712749042340631
- Red781RuM6907259361087822635292204501982768291612364849448083823281926712749042340631
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL94%$1.1K5 days ago
- SELL94%$1.46 days ago
- SELL4%$0.46 days ago
- SELL94%$14.26 days ago
- BUY96%$56 days ago
- SELL94%$367.16 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
7 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Monies-For-Nuggies · 19 days ago
Easily fixed lol
- Nigel364 · last month
Ma location is restricted from buying.
- BeezoDokiDoki · last month
Why not?
- Nigel364 · last month
I wish I could buy more of C Fréchette. She is being placed in front of a category 5 hurricane and she is handling it well so far.
- singlemom · 5 months ago
Why don't you buy some and show us!
- Exalted-Optimal · 5 months ago
parti conservateur always✊️
- Democrite · 5 months ago
all my homies hate le quebec liberal party
As of Sep 29, 10:12 PM UTC