Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoTop holders
- g0nzo4073964439546781679844222219197458984323215148120046536055850319869173017640
- MojAlaki57444375933620596258067193404376499933911971337929532732080247805234422208790
- ghippo4073964439546781679844222219197458984323215148120046536055850319869173017640
- Wagmi4204073964439546781679844222219197458984323215148120046536055850319869173017640
- Choroo57444375933620596258067193404376499933911971337929532732080247805234422208790
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
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Discussion on Predxy
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134 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- manipulat0r · 4 months ago
"Eligible Terminal participants will receive a share of the rewards pool in USDM, based on the points accumulated to date as well as activity that supported Mega." USDM is a stable coin, not a $MEGA airdrop. With the price action on $MEGA already terrible, the idea of giving out 2.5 of $MEGA supply now makes no sense and it was the right decision by the team.
- seiyah16 · 4 months ago
Airdrop is coming next week after 10th June said MegaATH on X...
- over. · 4 months ago
well if they dont announce it in a week or so its unlikely to be happening this month. these teams usually wait a few weeks after announcing an airdrop to actually send it out
- Writeoff · 4 months ago
no, it needs to be sent out: This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- over. · 4 months ago
if they 'announced' an airdrop before june 30, but the airdrop date was say, july 30th would this still resolve to no?
- manipulat0r · 4 months ago
With this horrific price action on $MEGA the odds of an airdrop anytime soon have basically gone to zero.
- manipulat0r · 4 months ago
MEGA clearly do not want to give out anymore $MEGA supply. They had 2.5 percent ready to giveaway for this campaign and did not see the ROI in the terminal. The likelihood of them now giving away any $MEGA seems very low. Only 1 month left to coordinate any sort of airdrop.
- Writeoff · 4 months ago
after the recent wind down of the terminal. Would be strange for there to be an "airdrop"
- Writeoff · 4 months ago
Yep. Slam dunk
- manipulat0r · 4 months ago
the name is literally in the title of the polymarket. "MegaETH airdrop by....?..This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June" There is exactly zero chance this includes stable coins.
- berklander · 4 months ago
who says only $mega ? $USDM is megaeth launch too .. This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, i dont know...........
- fleeth · 4 months ago
gg bro
- manipulat0r · 4 months ago
[link removed] Megaeth just sunsetted the terminal. This was the only real catalyst for a $MEGA airdrop left before 30th June. Rewards are being paid out in USDM and not $MEGA. Rewards paid in stables do not qualify as an airdrop. I'm not sure what else would qualify. Happy to hear opposing takes from the Yes voters.
- unicky · 5 months ago
NFT 에어드랍이 NFT의 에어드랍이냐 NFT 소지에 따른 에어드랍이냐
- BigBossBowser · 5 months ago
Calm down John Doe
- manipulat0r · 5 months ago
Sorry to disappoint you. KPI rewards are for token holders who have staked $MEGA. Staking rewards are not considered an airdrop.
- BigBossBowser · 5 months ago
People gonna get smoked hard when MEGA hits one KPI
- Salt-475 · 5 months ago
Where it said paid out after the 30th
- manipulat0r · 5 months ago
That will not count
- manipulat0r · 5 months ago
The Megaeth terminal season 1 that finishes on the 23rd June (2.5 percent of supply) will be paid out after the 30th. Typically these rewards are paid out 2-6 weeks after closing date (23rd June) Snapshot + points calculation and KYC will easily take this to plus 10 days. We already know the fluffle NFT round wont count as an airdrop. This is heavily miss-priced TGE hype.
As of Oct 2, 01:42 AM UTC