PolymarketOpen

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

No83%
Yes18%

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24h volume$500.8
7d volume$572.8
30d volume$729.2
Liquidity$417.5
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue activity

Holders70
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments134

Top holders

  • g0nzo4073964439546781679844222219197458984323215148120046536055850319869173017640
  • MojAlaki57444375933620596258067193404376499933911971337929532732080247805234422208790
  • ghippo4073964439546781679844222219197458984323215148120046536055850319869173017640
  • Wagmi4204073964439546781679844222219197458984323215148120046536055850319869173017640
  • Choroo57444375933620596258067193404376499933911971337929532732080247805234422208790

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

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Discussion on Predxy

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134 comments

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  • manipulat0r · 4 months ago

    "Eligible Terminal participants will receive a share of the rewards pool in USDM, based on the points accumulated to date as well as activity that supported Mega." USDM is a stable coin, not a $MEGA airdrop. With the price action on $MEGA already terrible, the idea of giving out 2.5 of $MEGA supply now makes no sense and it was the right decision by the team.

  • seiyah16 · 4 months ago

    Airdrop is coming next week after 10th June said MegaATH on X...

  • over. · 4 months ago

    well if they dont announce it in a week or so its unlikely to be happening this month. these teams usually wait a few weeks after announcing an airdrop to actually send it out

  • Writeoff · 4 months ago

    no, it needs to be sent out: This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

  • over. · 4 months ago

    if they 'announced' an airdrop before june 30, but the airdrop date was say, july 30th would this still resolve to no?

  • manipulat0r · 4 months ago

    With this horrific price action on $MEGA the odds of an airdrop anytime soon have basically gone to zero.

  • manipulat0r · 4 months ago

    MEGA clearly do not want to give out anymore $MEGA supply. They had 2.5 percent ready to giveaway for this campaign and did not see the ROI in the terminal. The likelihood of them now giving away any $MEGA seems very low. Only 1 month left to coordinate any sort of airdrop.

  • Writeoff · 4 months ago

    after the recent wind down of the terminal. Would be strange for there to be an "airdrop"

  • Writeoff · 4 months ago

    Yep. Slam dunk

  • manipulat0r · 4 months ago

    the name is literally in the title of the polymarket. "MegaETH airdrop by....?..This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June" There is exactly zero chance this includes stable coins.

  • berklander · 4 months ago

    who says only $mega ? $USDM is megaeth launch too .. This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, i dont know...........

  • fleeth · 4 months ago

    gg bro

  • manipulat0r · 4 months ago

    [link removed] Megaeth just sunsetted the terminal. This was the only real catalyst for a $MEGA airdrop left before 30th June. Rewards are being paid out in USDM and not $MEGA. Rewards paid in stables do not qualify as an airdrop. I'm not sure what else would qualify. Happy to hear opposing takes from the Yes voters.

  • unicky · 5 months ago

    NFT 에어드랍이 NFT의 에어드랍이냐 NFT 소지에 따른 에어드랍이냐

  • BigBossBowser · 5 months ago

    Calm down John Doe

  • manipulat0r · 5 months ago

    Sorry to disappoint you. KPI rewards are for token holders who have staked $MEGA. Staking rewards are not considered an airdrop.

  • BigBossBowser · 5 months ago

    People gonna get smoked hard when MEGA hits one KPI

  • Salt-475 · 5 months ago

    Where it said paid out after the 30th

  • manipulat0r · 5 months ago

    That will not count

  • manipulat0r · 5 months ago

    The Megaeth terminal season 1 that finishes on the 23rd June (2.5 percent of supply) will be paid out after the 30th. Typically these rewards are paid out 2-6 weeks after closing date (23rd June) Snapshot + points calculation and KYC will easily take this to plus 10 days. We already know the fluffle NFT round wont count as an airdrop. This is heavily miss-priced TGE hype.

As of Oct 2, 01:42 AM UTC