Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Labour Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 7 days agoBest bid 65% · best ask 67%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296648064047646459435809348778057486823127831399452533523475498053480370553378705
- xiaoaojiang55867950469655299846500558806969868922941717386756890954895032151094277290109
- ViscaElBarca55867950469655299846500558806969868922941717386756890954895032151094277290109
- InterestingUser55867950469655299846500558806969868922941717386756890954895032151094277290109
- Dr.PNL48064047646459435809348778057486823127831399452533523475498053480370553378705
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY66%$3.38 days ago
- SELL65%$6.512 days ago
- SELL65%$37.116 days ago
- BUY35%$1.819 days ago
- SELL65%$1322 days ago
- BUY34%$12.322 days ago
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As of Sep 30, 02:39 AM UTC