PolymarketOpen

Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?

No97%
Yes3%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$24.9K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

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Venue activity

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Comments13

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13 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Schnitzelwiener · 22 days ago

    Add Ilhan Omar

  • BennyHop · 2 months ago

    And he’ll walk because it’s not illegal to plead the 5th, even in his unique situation. Pardon was only for federal crimes, the things the crackpots accuse him of are also state crimes.

  • anonymous · 2 months ago

    Add Braden Peters

  • Speedy-Heyday · 2 months ago

    Fauci's getting arrested next week for contempt. His pardon doesn't cover this.

  • Kennz0r · 2 months ago

    obama dm me need to discuss got a good plan

  • bigticketchicken · 2 months ago

    Hi can you add me please

  • bigticketchicken · 2 months ago

    Please add Donaldo Trumpo

  • Filobestia · 2 months ago

    ADD CLAVICULAR

  • DEGENKHAN · 3 months ago

    Investigate DN

  • aenews2 · 4 months ago

    Gavin Newscum says DOJ is investigating him

  • RazuchiONE · 5 months ago

    And who isn't? Besides, he's being charged with conspiracy against Trump.

  • Kactus · 5 months ago

    he is in the epstien files.

  • RazuchiONE · 5 months ago

    The chances of James Comey being arrested this year are extremely low (close to zero). There are no active criminal charges, no arrest warrant, and no ongoing case against him. Previous investigations by the Department of Justice did not result in prosecution. Conclusion: No current legal basis for an arrest.

As of Sep 29, 08:28 PM UTC