Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Polymarket | 55% No | Open |
| Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Polymarket | 54% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 29, 09:31 PM UTC