James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 1% · best ask 2%
Top holders
- agggr46378741632438250514861190568830234007653714422260868985988325744662814994828
- AiBird15831217439442241818621115070529893833286457713159912572923944019666009974338
- tnl46378741632438250514861190568830234007653714422260868985988325744662814994828
- ImJustKen46378741632438250514861190568830234007653714422260868985988325744662814994828
- EODEOK15831217439442241818621115070529893833286457713159912572923944019666009974338
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL1%$0.58 days ago
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- SELL1%$18 days ago
- SELL1%$0.78 days ago
- SELL1%$18 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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21 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- atlastrade · 5 months ago
vcb
- Slocksl · 5 months ago
SADXsadasd
- Slocksl · 5 months ago
asdasd
- kamilik · 5 months ago
хз
- kamilik · 5 months ago
кто это вообще
- Equal-Seaweed · 5 months ago
i l help with beeet s d m me in x kaylmanegek
- Equal-Seaweed · 5 months ago
GOGOGOGO
- Costa-Domenic · 5 months ago
Hi! I’m a beginner and just getting started here. I was wondering if you could share a quick tip for my future investments and help me understand how the site works 🥰
- atlastrade · 5 months ago
mm
- Youtube-yebbu · 5 months ago
He's never going to jail. It's 8 percent free
- turturler · 5 months ago
I would like to consider the odds that enough news headlines come out between now and the end of this ordeal that the price of 'yes' goes from 9 cents to 18 cents.. which would double my money. I don't need to win or be right. I just need to buy the contract while low and expect some controversial news to hit that I can sell into.
- betpro3 · 5 months ago
This market ks peak Polymarket retard.
- JP.Vans · 5 months ago
Very good chance that Comey will get locked away.
- Chanchangmo · 5 months ago
111
- momochang- · 5 months ago
111
- minhazz · 5 months ago
yes
- Mak1ma · 5 months ago
The probability of “yes” has been underestimated
- You009 · 5 months ago
Mkc
- Bleak-Temperature · 5 months ago
fghj
- minhazz · 5 months ago
yes he will
As of Sep 30, 12:49 PM UTC