Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
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Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. Otherwise: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. - If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.
The same question elsewhere
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Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Otzma Yehudit
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) ( https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page ). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. Otherwise: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. - If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.
0 holders · read Sep 29, 09:24 PM UTC
- Polymarketthis market
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. Otherwise: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. - If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.
81 holders · 13 comments · read Sep 28, 02:38 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Polymarket | 59% No | Open |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Polymarket | 59% Yes | Open |
| Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoTop holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296634996004953768740280770497621347778072972005965772017174851526134648807033210
- e46m372928611581150091479894843605103749117561320868375067552073452709256467488450
- donthackme72928611581150091479894843605103749117561320868375067552073452709256467488450
- Jahnoon72928611581150091479894843605103749117561320868375067552073452709256467488450
- Lucerys72928611581150091479894843605103749117561320868375067552073452709256467488450
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Discussion on Predxy
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14 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Fluffy-Pinkie · 13 days ago
the time for a merger is over for this election!
- ydxistheking · 24 days ago
If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party
- ydxistheking · 24 days ago
In the past couple days there is a renewed push for Naftali Bennet and Gadi Eisenkots Yashar party to merge. Yashar is currently leading the market with 55% to be the largest party in the election. However, I went to read the rules to see how polymarket would resolve the market if Bennet ends up joining the Yashar list. Turns out, if any party ends up running on a joint list with Together, together wins even if Yashar makes up the large majority of the new party. If this merger does end up happening, the new list will easily be the largest party
- TheJewishHammer · 26 days ago
וואלה אחי, לא יודע מה להגיד לך. מקווה מאוד שאתה צודק. אבל אני בספק.
- TheJewishHammer · 26 days ago
המצב של הליכוד לא הכי טוב. כולם נוגסים המנדטים של הליכוד. לדעתי, המחיר על הליכוד גבוה מידי כרגע. מאמין שבסוף, הליכוד תהיה המפלגה הכי גדולה. אייזנקוט מתחזק, על חשבון בנט. הליכוד מאבד מנדטים לבן גביר, סמוטזהות ולוינטר. המצב לא פשוט. בוא נראה מה יהיה עם השיריונים של ביבי. אם לא יביא חיזוק משמעותי, ייתכן שאייזנקוט יעבור אל הליכוד במנדטים
- Hummershark · 27 days ago
זה גם מה שאני לא מבין
- Hummershark · 27 days ago
מה נסגר עם הליכוד ? לא יתכן שהליכוד לא יוביל בראש רשימת המפלגות , כנראה בגלל פיצול של מפלגות לווין ?
- Illiterate-Zinc · 28 days ago
נראה לי פיספסת קצת את הקונספט של האתר, אחי
- orelR34 · last month
Everyone knows that on election day people will simply vote for Likud. The polls are always wrong.
- TheJewishHammer · 3 months ago
תלוי באיזה ערוץ צופים. אני מסכים איתך
- Glicha · 3 months ago
כסף על הריצפה, ליכוד ב8-10 מנדטים יותר מישר
- ydxistheking · 3 months ago
ישר יותר מדי
- Kingsaka · 4 months ago
מה זה משנה אחי
- ophphirmatatu · 4 months ago
this market is just useless, the party with the most seats means basically nothing in israel
As of Sep 29, 11:54 PM UTC