Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 6 days agoBest bid 93% · best ask 93%
Top holders
- HoneybeeAlliance68513884660061290752495217148722770611149321666917469371094494376494947816035
- YOU-CAN-RUN-BUT-YOU-CANT-HIDE68513884660061290752495217148722770611149321666917469371094494376494947816035
- Steve.Park68513884660061290752495217148722770611149321666917469371094494376494947816035
- Remote-Roast-Crane68513884660061290752495217148722770611149321666917469371094494376494947816035
- stupid2237056415164360715205045597531236311646923415765066212185438253738647237336241
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL7%$18.37 days ago
- BUY93%$27.88 days ago
- BUY8%$27.48 days ago
- BUY93%$138.88 days ago
- BUY92%$1.3K9 days ago
- SELL92%$30.19 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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12 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Infamous-Buffalo · 3 months ago
Lee Jae-myung will definitely be eliminated before the end of 2026.
- bibibaba · 3 months ago
실컷 나라 말아먹어라
- Tricky-Dimension-Lizard · 3 months ago
Han Dong-hoon is scheduled to propose the impeachment motion.
- have12345 · 3 months ago
I'm poor man
- Chris0622 · 4 months ago
If you're confident, bet more money
- have12345 · 4 months ago
Never
- Youtube-yebbu · 5 months ago
꿀정보는 유튭검색 예뿌남
- jseo8285 · 5 months ago
이재명은 퇴진이 아니라 사살 당할 거라고 ㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋ
- h3lgaviking · 5 months ago
Easy lifehack how to 10X your money: 1) Buy 'Yes' shares
- Nyp08 · 5 months ago
여기도 병신 2찍들이 설치네
- Pixelpla · 5 months ago
yep
- BBBKK · 5 months ago
Does death count as “Yes”?
As of Sep 30, 07:32 PM UTC