Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Polymarket | 97% Yes | Open |
| Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:57 PM UTC