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Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

No97%

Yes3%

Price checked at Oct 1, 05:26 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$17.9K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting House of Representatives of Japan is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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As of Oct 1, 05:33 AM UTC