Will Matteo Salvini be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Polymarket | 52% Yes | Open |
| Will Mario Draghi be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Guido Crosetto be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Antonio Tajani be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Polymarket | 88% No | Open |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will Angelo Bonelli, be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Matteo Renzi be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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17 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Filobestia · 12 days ago
COMPRATE SHARES DEL GENERALE A SCONTO CAMERATI EIAEIA LALALAAAAAAA
- elitrav · last month
non ce la voce governo tecnico? ahahahahah
- Romiche22 · 2 months ago
Concordo, stesso vale per Salis
- Filobestia · 3 months ago
FAI UNA DECIMA SUL SIMBOLO DI FUTURO NAZIONALE
- Arles1 · 3 months ago
vannacci in hype ma totalmente sopravvalutato in questa percentuale, basta conoscere un po la politica... dovrebbe stare al 2/3%, massimo 5% a dire proprio tanto
- Incomplete-Eyrie · 3 months ago
Stfu
- Filobestia · 4 months ago
DUCE DUCE DUCE
- GRAGRAPU · 4 months ago
Sondaggi politici, Vannacci non si ferma e cresce ancora. Frena il Pd
- Giving-Guinea · 4 months ago
Sarebbe da proporre la bet
- Facciamoli-Piovere · 5 months ago
dato che vannacci toglierà un buon 4% al centro destra (secondo me anche di più) se non si allea rischia di far vincere la sinistra, è una cosa da non sottovalutare
- Feiz. · 5 months ago
fai ridere, come sempre
- BBBA123 · 5 months ago
Questo mercato andrà al tg.
- MegaTheGabriel · 5 months ago
si qualche centesimo gg per te, comunque hanno aggiunto la salis puoi anche mettere la casa sul no di quella lesbo
- giacoro · 5 months ago
Sono uscito prima, ci avevo guadagnato -.-
- MegaTheGabriel · 5 months ago
ei ancora tu stai un po' meglio dall'ultima partita della nazionale italiana?
- giacoro · 5 months ago
Top, comunque secondo me la Silvia Salis dovrebbero aggiungerla. Ci potrebbe stare.
- MegaTheGabriel · 5 months ago
finalmente è giunto il momento di fare un po' di soldi dai
As of Sep 30, 03:35 AM UTC