PolymarketOpen

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

No96%

Yes4%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:23 PM UTC

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24h volume$1

7d volume$321

30d volume$4.8K

Liquidity$22.9K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sanae Takaichi ceases to be Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Takaichi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sanae Takaichi and the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders165

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 5% · best ask 6%

Top holders

thoodr60059679279805861964505995205597171325525754411989398525103118580983839619505
cliveqm107673026445527516569715072732812518591007423752659058635513777042582780474478
polmarke195107673026445527516569715072732812518591007423752659058635513777042582780474478
PaddyAlpha107673026445527516569715072732812518591007423752659058635513777042582780474478
szdong107673026445527516569715072732812518591007423752659058635513777042582780474478

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY95%$9.58 days ago
SELL94%$74.28 days ago
SELL5%$7.58 days ago
BUY95%$1K8 days ago
SELL93%$0.88 days ago
SELL94%$10.88 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC