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PolymarketOpen

Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No99%
Yes1%

Price checked at

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24h volume$134.1
7d volume$392.2
30d volume$2.3K
Liquidity$291.4
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Variational launch a token by October 31, 2026?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Polymarket91% YesOpen
Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?Polymarket63% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders40
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments43

Best bid 0% · best ask 2%

Top holders

  • redpanda1352774129669668937509704279535236313609067556690422161854235178483339012790218
  • LornaPredicts23903671779153162165108784899663776080402345515038245965507400493542389653285
  • YYY5202774129669668937509704279535236313609067556690422161854235178483339012790218
  • qbe323903671779153162165108784899663776080402345515038245965507400493542389653285
  • Nadmi23903671779153162165108784899663776080402345515038245965507400493542389653285

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY100%$5.810 days ago
  • SELL98%$33.310 days ago
  • SELL72%$21.610 days ago
  • BUY7%$23.110 days ago
  • BUY1%$113 days ago
  • SELL99%$142.613 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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43 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • horriblebear · 15 days ago

    91% oh yeah

  • Hayyan · 18 days ago

    $3B fdv minimum

  • qwertyqwerty333 · last month

    haha

  • horriblebear · last month

    $VAR is coming

  • horriblebear · last month

    viva la var

  • warriorx · 3 months ago

    🤩 boost code : OMNI2SMU8VE2

  • 1386 · 3 months ago

    boosted code : OMNIEBNY5M4F

  • idan001 · 5 months ago

    Gold boosted code: OMNIMCEMMAS

  • Dishonest-Ectodermal · 8 months ago

    code : OMNIMICHA gives u maxboost

  • Micu1777 · 9 months ago

    Code: OMNIH7HDPM87 +15% boost, work for your bag!

  • Electre · 9 months ago

    We’re at 12,000 weekly traders and the points are getting harder to earn every Friday. If you look at how projects like Lighter handled their TGE, Variational is following the exact same playbook

  • LiquidityRapist · 9 months ago

    I r@pe silard, I know yall reading this, rope + chair yourself.

  • wissswisscat · 10 months ago

    haha, you can scalp the bot here, it has a weak logic

  • usemyreflink · 10 months ago

    help a brudda out OMNI1STJD89W

  • Giant-Pea · 10 months ago

    way better

  • Giant-Pea · 10 months ago

    this site ass what’s good

  • Witty-Lieu · 10 months ago

    this site ass what’s good

  • Subtle-Escalator · 10 months ago

    bro the real site

  • Dismal-Scorn · 10 months ago

    ovens couldn't cremate that fast basic physics says impossible

  • Spicy-Lynx · 10 months ago

    thanks

As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC