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PolymarketOpen

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

No92%
Yes9%

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24h volume$1.6K
7d volume$1.6K
30d volume$1.8K
Liquidity$1.3K
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Holders123
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments51

Top holders

  • Aurosassd58415083519048662499155366006294980527058935541698275412554812493316191385998
  • TheEvilMoneyDestroyer52837405094236171687649460051264604710453798793021773034180132912701882960185
  • goatboss58415083519048662499155366006294980527058935541698275412554812493316191385998
  • denizz52837405094236171687649460051264604710453798793021773034180132912701882960185
  • MEPP52837405094236171687649460051264604710453798793021773034180132912701882960185

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL6%$0.37 days ago
  • BUY94%$1.59 days ago
  • BUY8%$19 days ago
  • BUY94%$114 days ago
  • SELL91%$114 days ago
  • SELL91%$1.415 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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51 comments

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  • majorice1002 · 3 months ago

    My roommate started copy trading now hes up too

  • Regal-Optimist · 3 months ago

    You can't annex land that doesn't belong to know one (It was Jordan until Jordan in 1981 gave it to Israel)

  • aoudauihdsfiukj · 5 months ago

    yet you dont bet

  • nexilium.-. · 6 months ago

    those spikes feel less random with polyesc on

  • HolyDiver · 6 months ago

    Inshallah Israel will annex all of Southern Lebanon and drive the terrorist Muslims out

  • Kurdhish-Hewal · 6 months ago

    Dont you see Whats is going on Lebanon?

  • Lissom · 8 months ago

    They announced yesterday the annexation of parts of the west bank [link removed]

  • MEPP · 9 months ago

    its gonna hit [link removed] FOR SURE

  • Silasy · 10 months ago

    With the current situation and the budget issues, forcing through a huge, formal annexation by the end of the month would be super risky for the government's stability.

  • Zakiyo · 11 months ago

    its beacause "the jews" its always the jews, its their jobs to take the blame. They have a lot of experience in that they can take one more for the team.

  • Prime-Browsing · 11 months ago

    who run the world jew

  • Zakiyo · 11 months ago

    XD agreed

  • ethanblack · 11 months ago

    they just announced annexation

  • THATBOOM · 11 months ago

    Polymarket is Jewmarket. They just announced the annexation, and this keeps going as it wont happen.

  • Dishonest-Shipper · 11 months ago

    I love polymarket now the Israel parliament

  • Dishonest-Shipper · 11 months ago

    Yappp now I’m putting more

  • Trump2028maga · 11 months ago

    Israeli media report that the Knesset voted on West Bank settlement proposals, including Avigdor Lieberman’s bill to apply Israeli sovereignty over Maale Adumim, which passed its preliminary reading

  • Trump2028maga · 11 months ago

    The Knesset’s attention today will be focused on Avigdor Liberman’s proposed law to apply sovereignty over Ma’ale Adumim, just east of Jerusalem. Closing in on 40,000 residents and one of the largest Jewish communities in Judea and Samaria, there’s near wall-to-wall consensus in Israel that Ma’ale Adumim will always remain under Israeli control

  • Dishonest-Shipper · 12 months ago

    I love free money 💵😂😂

  • footontheground · 12 months ago

    I had to get out for another bet :)

As of Oct 1, 11:22 PM UTC