PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No77%

Yes24%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:13 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$8.5K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Valantis token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Valantis will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Valantis (https://x.com/ValantisLabs) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical in all material respects; Polymarket lists a resolution timestamp corresponding to the no-launch cutoff, while PredictFun does not list one separately.

PredictFunOpen →
Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Valantis token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Valantis will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Valantis (https://x.com/ValantisLabs) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
read Sep 29, 05:57 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Valantis token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Valantis will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Valantis (https://x.com/ValantisLabs) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
18 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 22, 12:17 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Valantis FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Polymarket	69% No	—	—	—	Open
Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	83% No	—	—	—	Open
Valantis FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Polymarket	83% No	—	—	—	Open
Valantis FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Valantis FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
Valantis FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Polymarket	83% No	$219	—	—	Open
Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	80% No	$200	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders18

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 23% · best ask 25%

Top holders

vinii22001412204997215486302839959225801118207137821302567016349140447832177444441
AJSV22001412204997215486302839959225801118207137821302567016349140447832177444441
0xf22b92600b8736a7c1552f6de5808eee72647eab110150711965399991618907361751421502721108523061258233384144629534288421324125
pootytherewardfarmer110150711965399991618907361751421502721108523061258233384144629534288421324125
winexecutescale110150711965399991618907361751421502721108523061258233384144629534288421324125

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY23%$13.612 days ago
BUY79%$8.212 days ago
SELL28%$2.912 days ago
BUY72%$30.912 days ago
SELL28%$3.112 days ago
SELL28%$512 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 09:22 PM UTC