PolymarketOpen

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

No98%

Yes2%

Price checked at Oct 2, 08:06 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$20K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 10 hours ago

Holders223

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments7

Best bid 97% · best ask 98%

Top holders

Bumblefrog21283153668269605997616141123303130183551299617622313858944018715458429399235
gjj7tbmkk763ggg21283153668269605997616141123303130183551299617622313858944018715458429399235
Lopsided-Daybed20422989273993244754906856186519682858694143423517641045356042701144662588778
Rundown-Schoolhouse20422989273993244754906856186519682858694143423517641045356042701144662588778
0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c20422989273993244754906856186519682858694143423517641045356042701144662588778

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY98%$1002 days ago
SELL97%$1.22 days ago
SELL97%$48.710 days ago
SELL97%$10.111 days ago
SELL97%$51.212 days ago
SELL2%$0.213 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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7 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

Tomgra · last month
Never！
Tomgra · last month
Never
alpaje · 4 months ago
so many scam websites under comments on god
Hotgirl · 4 months ago
It’s impossible
Hotgirl · 4 months ago
Not at all
beenraping · 5 months ago
Never happening
timilesku · 5 months ago
April 30 never ha ha ha

As of Oct 2, 08:54 AM UTC