Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
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7 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- jackdolphin3232 · 5 months ago
Poly scam As of today, Polymarket has officially marked a ceasefire in Ukraine and closed the related markets. According to them, there is no ongoing conflict in Ukraine anymore. Does anyone else agree with this? It really feels like this platform is making arbitrary decisions as it sees fit.
- kyozilla · 7 months ago
23232
- Tabithx · 9 months ago
Everything Russia would not agree to is just a delaying tactic by Ozawa.
- Tabithx · 9 months ago
Everything Russia would not agree to is just a delaying tactic by Ozawa.
- nameiskailan · 9 months ago
They probably split the market or changed the date, so it appears as the book being wiped but actually its just a reformulation :)
- Krisasfr · 9 months ago
how did the entire order book got whiped?
- Krisasfr · 9 months ago
wtf just happened
As of Sep 30, 02:57 AM UTC