Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 75% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue yesterdayBest bid 59% · best ask 62%
Top holders
- BrownBees105680218117075138401571382654526387308645112933494890253537724262500863032862
- Djibooty100272658533926290883806057030769127769102129982323297967391468544649242475988
- Investnow105680218117075138401571382654526387308645112933494890253537724262500863032862
- SingletonFamilyFund100272658533926290883806057030769127769102129982323297967391468544649242475988
- Flamboyant-Warming105680218117075138401571382654526387308645112933494890253537724262500863032862
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL40%$27.72 days ago
- BUY45%$12 days ago
- SELL45%$02 days ago
- SELL45%$2.32 days ago
- BUY57%$2.92 days ago
- BUY35%$142 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 08:22 PM UTC