PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Kash Patel out by December 31?

No79%

Yes22%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:22 PM UTC

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24h volume$2.1K

7d volume$7.1K

30d volume$33.8K

Liquidity$18.1K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Polymarketthis market
Kash Patel out by December 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
458 holders · 143 comments · read Sep 28, 10:30 AM UTC
LimitlessOpen →
Kash Patel out by...: December 31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
0 holders · read Sep 29, 05:58 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Kash Patel out by September 30?	Polymarket	99% No	$27.1	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders458

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments137

Best bid 18% · best ask 19%

Top holders

fElon53234778776980446933865634417069505413088346571446174643595097158969361636244
DirkDiggler6753234778776980446933865634417069505413088346571446174643595097158969361636244
yen4u88694396034591219866791854890895639776336538091403265368063665870598368184045
Serega-pro88694396034591219866791854890895639776336538091403265368063665870598368184045
cikcikcik88694396034591219866791854890895639776336538091403265368063665870598368184045

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SELL81%$1.6yesterday
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SELL18%$3.62 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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137 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

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smartspec1 · 2 months ago
There is no reason too serious for TRUMP to fire him. Trump likes the guy. Post the midterms, even if the Dems win a majority in the House and/or the Senate, and want to investigate Kash, their majority and new-found power won't come into effect till January 2027. This is free money.
iForgor · 3 months ago
Kash me ousiide how bout that
Discrete-Adulthood · 3 months ago
yep im holding it, if im wrong im wrong
smartspec1 · 3 months ago
Exactly this. There is no chance in hell that he gets fired before the midterms.
sevvy · 3 months ago
Firing kash right before the midterms is political suicide for the GOP,
12beduins · 3 months ago
Hes looking like dangerous criminal its SCARY!
sevvy · 3 months ago
Nothing ever happens
sevvy · 3 months ago
free money this jeet isnt going anytime soon
habibi112233 · 3 months ago
he will fight to dead never leave
habibi112233 · 3 months ago
don't forget kash is indian
TopGod · 3 months ago
big troll
anonymous · 3 months ago
Why is that
hugeinjapan · 3 months ago
Things getting interesting today.
TopGod · 4 months ago
REALLY EASY MONEY
niceguy8h · 4 months ago
Im not leaving sir!!!
TopGod · 4 months ago
You’re right man. Maybe buy some YES on June Taking decisions following your guts over reason usually works great
firstrun · 4 months ago
You mean Khamzat Chimaev?
abdoohl · 4 months ago
He looks horrible, he looks like a criminal IMHO
iForgor · 4 months ago
thx 4 the update
IamBatman- · 4 months ago
TRUMP: KASH PATEL IS DOING A VERY GOOD JOB

As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC