Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoTop holders
- pede99020283867209289889119738709824148614345922887757122199903300146152690995270
- LlamaLoco000099020283867209289889119738709824148614345922887757122199903300146152690995270
- PascalPro93407877955114874013681720453737167910717495090774867631160491764908235156561
- Gohst93407877955114874013681720453737167910717495090774867631160491764908235156561
- Motherly-Replacement93407877955114874013681720453737167910717495090774867631160491764908235156561
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL30%$5.74 days ago
- BUY70%$354 days ago
- BUY31%$1.65 days ago
- BUY32%$6.45 days ago
- BUY70%$59.56 days ago
- SELL69%$2.86 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC