Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? | Polymarket | 83% No | Open |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 11:13 PM UTC