Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue yesterdayBest bid 12% · best ask 13%
Top holders
- firegold101619278040997092188226549700581427029124270414496799725288775207222608828730
- Gaditima109216265512697060391868089536489107487253694838937150343986197182260803677783
- BornAgain26109216265512697060391868089536489107487253694838937150343986197182260803677783
- variant1.meta101619278040997092188226549700581427029124270414496799725288775207222608828730
- rodddiaz1101619278040997092188226549700581427029124270414496799725288775207222608828730
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL87%$56.62 days ago
- BUY13%$23 days ago
- BUY18%$103 days ago
- SELL13%$0.74 days ago
- SELL81%$93.54 days ago
- SELL9%$1.14 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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1 comment
From Polymarket's own thread- shaIom · 7 months ago
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As of Sep 29, 10:25 PM UTC