Surf FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Surf's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it- PredictFunOpen →
Surf FDV above $200M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Surf's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-12T13:27:25.844865892Z
read Oct 1, 02:56 AM UTC
- Polymarketthis market
Surf FDV above $200M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Surf's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
4 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 03:01 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 66% Yes | Open |
| Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 79% No | Open |
| Surf FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 74% No | Open |
| Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 61% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoBest bid 64% · best ask 85%
Top holders
- AJSV77676811217333190507108718550224686461433077307646883322370087128311471490468
- KrauzeN47394057606947676011063127258496046104514204477767651596459073046553287828349
- UpTheStairs47394057606947676011063127258496046104514204477767651596459073046553287828349
- Obiviouslynotaninsider77676811217333190507108718550224686461433077307646883322370087128311471490468
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY27%$2.34 days ago
- BUY55%$225 months ago
- SELL26%$1.36 months ago
- SELL52%$2.66 months ago
- SELL51%$2.57 months ago
- BUY90%$4.57 months ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 1, 03:23 PM UTC