Spain snap election called in 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoBest bid 15% · best ask 19%
Top holders
- Indolent-Dogwood8029334961076895816930917106188253143265063891107769802230986627972907877528
- DaMonkeyHope8029334961076895816930917106188253143265063891107769802230986627972907877528
- vyemfql59503554798824057287666406378885313688964980592517621433937122029072326338100
- 0x0ae7fee1baa59b2260843150b421e7b33d55e1e859503554798824057287666406378885313688964980592517621433937122029072326338100
- uigiguibiubiubui59503554798824057287666406378885313688964980592517621433937122029072326338100
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY84%$8.43 days ago
- SELL76%$113.83 days ago
- BUY15%$23 days ago
- BUY89%$113.94 days ago
- SELL84%$47.95 days ago
- SELL85%$49.55 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 1, 12:51 AM UTC