Will Lando Norris win the 2026 Action of the Year?

No96%
Yes4%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1K
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies FIA/credible-reporting sourcing and rules for ties, multiple winners, and a cancelled or unresolved season; Kalshi does not publish comparable contingency rules. They otherwise concern the same award and season.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Lando Norris win the 2026 Action of the Year?

    This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    20 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 27, 06:45 AM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    F1 Action of the Year Award Winner: Will Lando Norris win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season?

    If Lando Norris wins the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season, then the market resolves to Yes. The FIA F1 Action of the Year Award is presented annually to the driver who executed the most spectacular, thrilling, or skillful on-track maneuver. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 10:34 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Esteban Ocon win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will George Russell win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Lance Stroll win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket72% NoOpen
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket66% NoOpen
Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 Action of the Year?Polymarket97% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders20
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296628590333071883295066053922769316119379087929123839346443123487972417506524660
  • LKAtrade35667543838308393954247724717575958655512445545967956232365352839653268675687
  • cry.eth235667543838308393954247724717575958655512445545967956232365352839653268675687
  • Started-with-20-USD35667543838308393954247724717575958655512445545967956232365352839653268675687
  • bdr235667543838308393954247724717575958655512445545967956232365352839653268675687

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY96%$1.723 days ago
  • BUY98%$9.823 days ago
  • BUY95%$10.523 days ago
  • BUY95%$9.523 days ago
  • BUY5%$327 days ago
  • SELL2%$0.12 months ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 11:13 PM UTC