PolymarketOpen

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Yes95%

No6%

Price checked at Oct 1, 02:05 PM UTC

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24h volume$30

7d volume$30

30d volume$3.7K

Liquidity$727.9

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 hours ago

Holders105

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments2

Best bid 5% · best ask 6%

Top holders

perfectnostalgia74759375087161845230989502970158750772517621988242039830169291526098745655610
SaracensCapital220414650103407944995741286552313169705521839639657341534829483349107549810367
firegold20414650103407944995741286552313169705521839639657341534829483349107549810367
polmarke19574759375087161845230989502970158750772517621988242039830169291526098745655610
BornAgain2674759375087161845230989502970158750772517621988242039830169291526098745655610

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL7%$2.1yesterday
BUY92%$36.85 days ago
SELL91%$26 days ago
SELL91%$4.27 days ago
BUY92%$8.37 days ago
SELL91%$7.88 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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2 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

UDK · 4 months ago
good luck rising rates with cooling PMI
Neglected-Dud · 4 months ago
Pumping rates again wouldn't even tackle the sort of inflation we'd see from Hormuz problem, but I might just be a brainlet.

As of Oct 1, 02:53 PM UTC