PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No91%

Yes10%

Price checked at Sep 30, 02:38 AM UTC

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24h volume$198.2

7d volume$995.8

30d volume$3.8K

Liquidity$18.3K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count. An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Polymarketthis market
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count. An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
131 holders · 4 comments · read Sep 28, 04:36 PM UTC
LimitlessOpen →
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count. An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
16 holders · read Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders131

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments3

Top holders

enrico-vasaio39426849599939833072109996926137463492030288041203809399312993050584995791270
Car17782761492476021262307820131731536052536288391242996814495642637363394511111
doyou17782761492476021262307820131731536052536288391242996814495642637363394511111
ArmageddonRewardsBilly39426849599939833072109996926137463492030288041203809399312993050584995791270
troim39426849599939833072109996926137463492030288041203809399312993050584995791270

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Recent trades

SELL9%$1.84 days ago
BUY10%$26 days ago
BUY91%$118.96 days ago
SELL90%$23.410 days ago
SELL9%$0.912 days ago
SELL9%$0.314 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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3 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

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hellomarket · 2 months ago
here PayPal's board rejected a $53 billion take-private offer from Stripe and Advent, effectively betting its own turnaround plan will outperform the premium bid.
Windy-Southeast · 3 months ago
lol
Infinite-West · 4 months ago
any news?

As of Sep 30, 02:59 AM UTC