Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?

No93%
Yes7%

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Liquidity$10.5K
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 1329 (119th) — “Smithsonian American Women’s History Museum Act.” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies passage and enactment mechanics and official/credible reporting sources; Kalshi’s published text is less detailed. They also have different administrative resolution times (2027-01-01 04:59 UTC versus 15:00 UTC), with no material difference in the underlying deadline.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 1329 (119th) — “Smithsonian American Women’s History Museum Act.” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

  • KalshiOpen →

    Which bills will become law in 2026?: Will legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve become law before Jan 1, 2027? Smithsonian Women’s History Museum

    If legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Clarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify. Clarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that "authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom," even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.

    read Sep 29, 08:07 PM UTC

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  • Intent-Fortnight · 2 months ago

    Caution everyone! Be careful about the safe of your money. 3 days ago my account was hacked and all the money was stolen. I reported to the help center and they said they will check. But there is still no any response!!! Shame of it!!! Anyway, just reminding, be careful of your money!!!

As of Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC