Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 7 days agoBest bid 86% · best ask 86%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966106614679178589430838337140139984910365636487558463576777358835397990812989316
- baseballlover27018806089470560103391414328103126586863102372018563020440463515634120513678
- donky27018806089470560103391414328103126586863102372018563020440463515634120513678
- 0xf475402430f3dc9611abeea737fe69dd02f4848627018806089470560103391414328103126586863102372018563020440463515634120513678
- Serpentine-Dialogue27018806089470560103391414328103126586863102372018563020440463515634120513678
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY15%$1.57 days ago
- BUY15%$447 days ago
- BUY15%$7.47 days ago
- BUY15%$6.67 days ago
- SELL85%$1.77 days ago
- SELL14%$7.78 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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6 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- m.herrera · 12 days ago
Easy Tampa Bay. Caminero and Aranda are carrying this team incredible.
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a small but nice bag
- .ybryven · 14 days ago
wrote "sybilhunt" and is the definition of a quiet w
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the reward that doesnt make you do 30 tasks
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a little nice free thing
- .dgalvyn · 23 days ago
polyitem dropped and suddenly I trust airdrops again
As of Sep 29, 09:15 PM UTC