PolymarketOpen

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Oct 1, 11:12 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$7.5K

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 8, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders30

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Top holders

bZk0Uo38259139129652057735573308768058018192450091261258320245550503926506859008943
Robbb38259139129652057735573308768058018192450091261258320245550503926506859008943
Sardonic-Cue30315960965839803220230113898748494289326369442658263393548700909071771870930
Dr.PNL30315960965839803220230113898748494289326369442658263393548700909071771870930
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.30315960965839803220230113898748494289326369442658263393548700909071771870930

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL1%$0.69 days ago
SELL0%$0.214 days ago
SELL0%$0.118 days ago
SELL0%$0.518 days ago
BUY99%$49.619 days ago
BUY99%$54.719 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

Comilla · 8 months ago
Structural barriers (primary electorate demographics, donor preferences) still favor men.

As of Oct 1, 11:48 PM UTC