PolymarketOpen

Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?

No100%
Yes0%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$10.4K
Spread0%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156 This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026". The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address. Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments6

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

6 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • abdoohl · 3 months ago

    Its obvious a female wrote that..

  • Earningg · 7 months ago

    Epstein client list released by June 30?

  • 389254 · 8 months ago

    if you can do basic research you know its gwendolyn. plain and simple. the questions is, if the redaction retards at the DOJ/FBI will unredact it or keep lying as always

  • ImNotBetting · 8 months ago

    These options are really bad. It was clearly a local Iowa politician

  • DFK · 8 months ago

    Chill bro. If Yes "not revealed" wins, No everything else also does.

  • PassiveStrike · 8 months ago

    Da fuq does this mean for individual names? "If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026". Do both "yes" and "no" positions lose if no name is revealed? That cant be right...

As of Sep 30, 12:19 PM UTC