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Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

No91%

Yes10%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:38 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$259.2

Spread8%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Sep 30, 12:48 PM UTC