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Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$11.7K
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Venue activity

Holders27
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments10

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296699264991484166287985932263823141056784006415136378776066637891385142460368697
  • Anne66686175415201453847504084781998844422296233949699888123332671387276993560296802
  • Haradwaith86175415201453847504084781998844422296233949699888123332671387276993560296802
  • Agecanonix86175415201453847504084781998844422296233949699888123332671387276993560296802
  • LornaPredicts86175415201453847504084781998844422296233949699888123332671387276993560296802

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10 comments

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  • zzzzzzzzz11 · 3 months ago

    Se der empate, qual o critério? Split?

  • ItsRigg3d · 5 months ago

    Se os maiores partidos empatarem, resolve como?

  • petralha · 5 months ago

    Demorou

  • petralha · 6 months ago

    existe outro mercado onde aposta é qual será o partido com mais assentos no senado depois da eleição. este aqui é quem vai ganhar mais assentos nesta eleição.

  • chrono1 · 6 months ago

    ADD MISSAO

  • GuilhermeDaCol · 7 months ago

    Me parece que vao considerar apenas os mandatos em disputa, 54 dos 81 do Senado. Quem fizer maioria dos 54 resolve pra SIM. Me parece que nao tem nada a ver com composiçao total do Senado considerando os 81 mandatos

  • ItsRigg3d · 7 months ago

    Coloca uma descrição das regras. Vai simplesmente comparar a 58a legislatura com a 57a e tirar a diferença de cada partido 1 por 1?

  • Tecnoamigo · 8 months ago

    Aqui o negócio é sério rapaz

  • h0ip0ll0i · 8 months ago

    pouparam vcs de queimar dinheiro dessa vez

  • vinnyzor · 8 months ago

    where missao

As of Sep 30, 03:50 AM UTC